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15 Jul 2025

15 Jul 2025

USD revival tour

• US CPI. Uptick in US inflation has seen Fed rate cut expectations fall. USD firmer on the back of higher yields. AUD & NZD lose some ground.• US data flow. US producer prices out tonight. US import prices & retail sales due tomorrow. More signs of tariff impacts could give USD more support.• AU jobs. Australian jobs report also released tomorrow. The data has been volatile the past few months. Will unemployment rise in June? Global Trends US economic data was in focus overnight with the latest CPI inflation report showing more of an impact on ‘goods’ prices from...

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15 Jul 2025

Knee-Jerk Market Reaction Fades On Mixed US Inflation Print

US inflation printed below expectations for a fifth consecutive month in June as tariff-led price increases in core goods categories were offset by softness in the services sector and in automobile costs. According to data published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the core consumer price index – with highly-volatile food and energy prices excluded – rose 2.9 percent in June from the same period last year, up 0.3 percent on a month-over-month basis, accelerating from the prior month’s 0.1-percent pace, but undershooting consensus estimates among economists polled by the major data providers ahead of the release. On...

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