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07 Apr 2025

Volatility continues

• Market swings. Tariff headlines generated more vol. overnight. S&P500 traded in a ~8.5% range. AUD still tracking at levels last seen during COVID.• Negative vibes. Tariffs will slow US/global growth. But is the extreme market vol. justified? These types of moves only seen during a crisis.• AUD levels. Momentum/sentiment have been overpowering fundamentals. AUD in ‘rarefied air’ having only traded sub-$0.60 very infrequently since 2015. Global Trends Volatility has continued as markets adjust to the changing economic landscape stemming from recent tariff developments and react to new news. Negative sentiment dominated yesterday’s early trade as Friday’s US market turmoil...

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Tariff Turmoil Engulfs Global Markets

Financial markets are caught in the grip of a deepening selloff after a string of Trump administration officials hit the Sunday talk-show circuit to defend the president’s tariff policies, forcing investors to further mark down US asset values and slash global growth forecasts. Equity futures are setting up for another 3-percent drop at the open, benchmark ten-year Treasury yields are holding below the 4-percent threshold, and the safe-haven yen and euro are outperforming their advanced-economy peers as traders seek protection against the building storm. The administration’s messaging seems remarkably unified. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on CBS “The army of...

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