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06 Nov 2024

06 Nov 2024

Trump 2.0

• US election. Trump’s decisive win has seen markets reprice the outlook. US equities outperformed, bond yields rose, & the USD strengthened.• Fed outlook. US Fed & BoE expected to deliver cuts tonight. But Trump’s agenda points to fewer Fed rate reductions over 2025.• AUD vol. AUD whipped around by US election results. Prospect for higher US rates suggests the AUD may linger in the mid-$0.60s for some time. The US election has been a major market moving force over the past 24hrs, and the result is likely to be a significant factor that influences how things pan out over...

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06 Nov 2024

Trump Emerges Victorious, Sending Markets Reeling

Republican Donald Trump has defeated Democrat Kamala Harris to secure a second term as US president. His triumph, called just after 5:45 eastern time this morning by news outlets including the Associated Press, ABC, CNN, and the New York Times, could usher in a new wave of US protectionism, mark a shift toward an “America First” foreign policy stance, and end a period of relative calm in foreign exchange markets. Republicans also took majority control of the Senate, and look* set to retain the House of Representatives, handing Trump the power to enact a wide-ranging and radical policy agenda. He...

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