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11 Sep 2024

Dollar Jumps on Hotter-Than-Anticipated Core Inflation Print

Consumer price growth accelerated slightly in the United States last month, threatening to derail a more aggressive kickoff to the Federal Reserve’s imminent easing cycle. According to data published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the core consumer price index – with highly-volatile food and energy prices excluded – rose 0.3 percent in August from the same period last year, and climbed 3.2 percent on a month-over-month basis. This was slightly above the monthly consensus estimates among economists polled by the major data providers ahead of the release, which had been set at 0.2 percent. On a headline...

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Dollar Retreats as Trump’s Odds Slip

Financial markets are in relief mode this morning after Taylor Swift endorsed Kamala Harris for president, reducing demand for hedges against a rally in the dollar or a resumption in trade war hostilities. The greenback is reversing its three-day rally, short-end Treasury yields are declining, and North American equity indices are retreating ahead of the open. In related news, Harris managed to flip prediction market odds in her favour during a televised debate with former president Donald Trump. Economic policy details were limited, and neither of the candidates managed to land a knockout blow big enough to decide the race,...

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