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20 Aug 2024

USD doldrums

• Mixed markets. Equities slip back, while bond yields & the USD lose ground. EUR above ~$1.11 for first time this year. AUD at ~1-month high.• Global events. JPY also stronger. BoJ research papers keep door open to more hikes. Canadian inflation slows & Sweden’s Riksbank cuts rates again.• US data. Annual US payrolls revisions due tonight. Downward revisions look likely. PMIs (Thurs) & Fed Chair Powell’s speech (Fri) the main events. Mixed, albeit modest moves, across asset markets overnight. After a stellar run equities paused for breath with the US S&P500 slipping back (-0.2%), its first fall in 9...

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Dollar Selloff Resumes Ahead of Jackson Hole

A selloff in the dollar is intensifying this morning as investors grow more confident in a clear easing signal from Chair Jerome Powell at the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole economic symposium later this week. The greenback is holding near a three-week low, almost erasing its year-to-date gains, Treasury yields are ratcheting lower, equity indices are climbing, and volatility assumptions are coming down as a tide of optimism washes over global markets. The euro is trading near its highest levels this year as investors turn more cautious on the European Central Bank’s rate cutting path. Measures of underlying inflation slowed only...

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