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10 Jun 2024

Dollar Advances, Euro Retreats On Rising Political Risk

The dollar is holding near five-week highs this morning as Federal Reserve rate cut hopes continue to fade and renewed political uncertainty roils the euro area. Equity futures are setting up for a more subdued open, Treasury yields are down on safe-haven flows, and commodity prices are broadly lower. Friday’s non-farm payrolls report forced traders to push the expected initiation of the Fed’s easing cycle further into the future. Job growth surged, with a 272,000-position gain topping market expectations, and wage growth accelerated, rising 0.4 percent month-over-month. Overnight index swaps are currently pricing in 36 basis points in easing by...

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