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25 Jan 2024

Markets Rally on Soft Landing Confirmation

The American economy expanded far more than expected in the fourth quarter, smashing market forecasts and delivering booming growth even as the lagging impact of one of history’s most aggressive tightening cycles hit home. Data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning showed the economy expanding 3.3 percent in the October-through-December period, topping market consensus that had been set closer to 2 percent, and exceeding estimates provided by the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s nowcasting model. On a full-year basis, output rose 2.3 percent, defying longstanding expectations for a slowdown and even a recession. Personal consumption rose 2.8 percent, slowing...

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Markets Mark Time Into US Growth Print

Markets are treading water ahead of US fourth-quarter growth data. Ten-year Treasury yields are holding near 4.16 percent , the dollar is almost unchanged, and key commodity prices – including the major oil benchmarks – are up slightly. Equity markets – key to the dollar’s outperformance over the last year – are setting up for a weaker open after Tesla Inc. missed earnings guidance and said it would grow more slowly this year. Surprising no one monitoring trade flows, Elon Musk warned that Chinese competitors would “demolish” Western automakers without the imposition of protectionist policies on the industry. The Canadian...

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