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13 Sep 2022

Market Wire: US Inflation Accelerates, Raising Monetary Policy Expectations

Headline US consumer inflation jumped by more than expected in August, and core price growth gained momentum, putting upward pressure on short-term yields as market participants bet the Federal Reserve would continue tightening at an aggressive pace. According to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the consumer price index climbed 8.3 percent in August from the same period last year, up 0.1 percent on a month-over-month basis. Economists polled by major data providers expected an 8.1 percent annual gain and a -0.1 percent decrease relative to July’s flat month-over-month number. A -5 percent month-over-month drop in...

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Market Briefing: Currency Market Tensions Rise Ahead of Inflation Report

Markets are in a cautiously optimistic mood and the dollar is coming under sustained pressure ahead of this morning’s consumer inflation report. Equity futures are up, Treasury yields are down, and risk-sensitive currencies are seeing solid inflows as traders bet US monetary policy expectations reached their cycle top last week – a view that could prove vulnerable if prices rise by more than expected. Economists think headline prices probably continued their gasoline-powered descent in August, with the core measure rising as other areas of the economy caught up. Investors are overwhelmingly positioned for a 75 basis-point hike at next week’s...

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