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CHF

28 Apr 2025

Uneasy Calm Prevails Ahead of Action-Packed Week

Financial markets are trading sideways ahead of an information-dense trading week that will be packed with economic data releases and earnings reports – on top of the usual White House drama. The dollar is up incrementally against its major peers on hopes for a raft of symbolic trade deals, Treasury yields are holding steady, and futures on North American equity markets are edging marginally lower as investors brace for a deluge of negative guidance from US corporates;. Former central banker Mark Carney is well ahead in the polls going into today’s Canadian election, with many voters seeing him as the...

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25 Apr 2025

Dollar Strengthens On Milder Risk Backdrop

Risk appetite is returning to global financial markets this morning as investors move to price in rate cuts and traders welcome a more conciliatory tone from the Trump administration on trade and monetary independence issues. The president and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent both made supportive noises on trade negotiations during yesterday’s session, and a number of Federal Reserve officials highlighted downside risks in public appearances. North American stock market futures are setting up for a modestly-lower open, but the US ten-year Treasury yield is pushing lower, and the dollar is strengthening against its safe-haven alternatives in Japan, Switzerland, and the...

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23 Apr 2025

Relief Washes Over Markets As US Dials Down Rhetoric

The dollar is strengthening, yields are edging lower, and North American equity markets are barrelling toward a second day of gains after the Trump administration appeared to soften its stance on several policy fronts. Risk sentiment improved early in yesterday’s session on signs that the administration intends to retreat from its maximalist positions on China. In a closed-door meeting with investors, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reportedly said “No one thinks the current status quo is sustainable at 145 and 125 percent” tariffs, “So, I would posit that over the very near future, there will be a de-escalation. And I think...

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27 Feb 2025

Tariff Confusion Leaves Currency Markets Rudderless

The US dollar is inching higher against most of its rivals—with the exception of the safe-haven Swiss franc—as investors monitor signs of an impending economic slowdown amid deepening uncertainty over the Trump administration’s tariff plans. Benchmark ten-year Treasury yields are holding just below the 4.3-percent threshold after fully unwinding their post-election gains, North American equity futures are setting up for an almost-unchanged open, and foreign exchange rates are displaying signs of broad-based risk aversion. The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso are almost unchanged after President Trump appeared to say that levies on the two countries would take effect on April...

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02 Aug 2022

Market Briefing: Tensions in Taiwan Strait Trigger Market Turmoil

A worsening in relations between the US and China is driving an exodus from risk-sensitive assets this morning. Military forces on both sides of the Strait are on high alert as House Speaker Nancy Pelosi – the third highest-ranking official in the US government – is expected to visit Taiwan in a few hours, defying increasingly-strident Chinese threats. The Swiss franc and dollar are well-bid, and long-term debt instruments are in high demand as investors buy insurance against a mishap and raise odds on further escalation in the “war by other means” between China and the United States. Japan’s yen...

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