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CAD

Market Wire: Canadian Price Growth Weakens, But Core Inflation Remains Stubbornly Elevated

Headline Canadian inflation slowed last month, but underlying price indicators rose by more than forecast, raising monetary policy expectations for the months ahead. Data released by Statistics Canada this morning showed the Consumer Price Index rising 6.8 percent on a year-over-year basis in October, with the month-over-month change hitting 0.1 percent – narrowly exceeding consensus economic forecasts for a flat print. Gasoline prices tumbled -3.6 percent month-over-month while food prices underwent their typical November acceleration, climbing 1.2 percent. Shelter costs kept climbing, up 0.6 percent month-over-month as higher interest rates took their toll. Mortgage interest costs increased on a year-over-year...

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Market Briefing: Currencies Rangebound As Liquidity Ebbs

Currency traders are all nestled in their spreads, with visions of sweet incomes dancing in their heads. Equities and risk-sensitive currencies are inching higher, the dollar is trading on a mixed basis against its major rivals, and Treasury yields are slightly weaker across the curve. Japan’s yen is holding onto gains achieved on Monday when the central bank shocked markets by opting to relax its yield-suppression efforts. Even if the Bank of Japan’s policy adjustment was not designed to tighten financial conditions, the effect has been just that: two-year government bond yields are above zero for the first time since...

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Market Briefing: Fright Before Christmas Stirs Creatures in FX Markets

Santa Claus might not come this year. The jolly old elf—known for putting gifts in the stockings of good little boys and girls across the financial markets each December—was shot down over Tokyo last night by a central banker wielding a monetary policy-guided surface-to-air missile. His condition is unknown at this time. In a surprise decision, the Bank of Japan increased the upper limit for its ten-year government bond target from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent, almost doubling effective interest rates in one of the world’s most important funding currencies. Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the move was aimed at reducing...

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Market Briefing: Volatility falls in the run-up to an eventful week

The dollar is setting up for a third day of losses even as markets prepare for an onslaught of potential volatility catalysts in the week ahead. Economists think the US will report a 7.3-percent rise in headline consumer prices when it drops November’s data on Tuesday – confirming a steady easing in inflation pressures. The Federal Reserve is expected to announce another half-percentage-point hike on Wednesday, and publish an updated set of policy projections showing a gradual deceleration in coming months. The European Central Bank and Bank of England will probably deliver their own half-point hikes on Thursday. Traders will...

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Market Briefing: Risk appetite erodes as markets brace for turbulent week ahead

The dollar is creeping higher as traders begin to cut risk ahead of next week’s US consumer price report and Federal Reserve meeting. Both events carry the potential to drive unpredictable changes in year-ahead rebalancing flows across currency markets, and hedging demand is pushing up one-week implied volatility levels in most majors. The Canadian dollar is back near levels that prevailed ahead of yesterday’s rate decision. The Bank of Canada raised rates by more than expected – half a percentage point – but offset the impact on yields and the exchange rate by signalling an imminent pause in its tightening...

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