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CAD

Market Wire: Canadian Retail Sales Accelerate Into a Pothole

Canadian retail sales increased by more than expected in June, but the headline number was largely driven by stronger vehicle sales and a 6.2 percent monthly jump in oil prices – measures of core consumer spending landed much closer to consensus projections, and estimates for July are pointing to the first drop in seven months. Data released by Statistics Canada this morning showed retail sales rising 1.1 percent on a month-over-month basis in June, beating consensus expectations for a 0.4 percent gain. Sales at auto and parts dealers rose 1.8 percent, while gas station receipts jumped 3.9 percent. Sales excluding...

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Market Briefing: Dollar Jumps Into the Hole

Traders are cutting risk and buying the dollar going into the holiest of holies on the central bank calendar – the annual Economic Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Treasury yields are rising, equity futures are dropping, and the trade-weighted greenback is up roughly 0.3 percent as markets position ahead of Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell’s speech next Friday morning. Mr. Powell is widely expected to argue against the arguably-premature loosening in financial conditions that has occurred since the July meeting, attempting to better align market forecasts with the central bank’s own terminal rate projections. This is unlikely to drive a...

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Market Briefing: Markets Tread Water After Fed Minutes

Major asset classes are moving sideways and implied volatility in the currency markets is falling after a record of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting largely confirmed prevailing investor views. Oil and commodity prices are climbing after Chinese authorities signalled an acceleration in stimulus efforts. Bloomberg quoted state media sources as saying local governments had been authorized to sell an additional $226 billion in bonds, helping to support spending and avoid a “fiscal cliff”. President Xi Jinping said authorities would try to balance growth with disease-control policies, continuing the process of opening the economy up. The expressions of support come on...

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Market Briefing: Markets Fade Ahead of Potentially-Sobering Fed Minutes

Investors are bracing for hawkish language when the Federal Reserve releases minutes from its recent policy meeting this afternoon. Equity futures are under pressure, ten-year Treasury yields are ticking higher, and the dollar is inching forward against most of its major rivals. Inflation in the United Kingdom hit 10.1 percent in July, up from a year-over-year pace of 9.4 percent in June as surging food and energy prices cut living standards. Data released by the Office for National Statistics this morning showed the fastest increase in headline consumer prices in more than four decades, paired with a much hotter-than-expected rise...

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Market Wire: Canadian Inflation Cools, But Broadens, Raising September Rate Expectations

Canadian headline inflation rates slumped again last month, but price pressures broadened across many services sectors, keeping the Bank of Canada on a tightening trajectory. Data released by Statistics Canada this morning showed consumer prices rising 7.6 percent year-over-year in July, with the month-over-month gain amounting to 0.1 percent, down sharply from 1.4 percent in June. Core inflation, computed as the average of the three price measures preferred by the Bank of Canada (trim, median, and common), increased an annualized 5.3 percent, up from June’s revised 5.23 percent as costs rose in a broader range of economic sectors. Core measures...

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