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CAD

Market Briefing: Markets Flatline Ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls

Currency traders are treading cautiously ahead of a non-farm payrolls report that is expected to show the US job creation engine beginning to cool, but still running far too hot for the Federal Reserve. With high inflation and ever-rising interest rates weighing on economic activity, markets think roughly 250,000 new positions were created last month, down sharply from the 440,000 average in the first half, even as the unemployment rate holds near a historically-low 3.7 percent. Data released yesterday morning showed initial jobless claims jumping to a seasonally-adjusted 219,000 last week from a revised 190,000 in the prior week –...

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Market Briefing: Trading Ranges Shrink Ahead of Non-Farms

Equity futures are weaker and currency market trading volumes are down as investors contemplate higher inflation risks – while bracing for tomorrow’s non-farm payrolls report. Oil prices are stabilizing around higher levels after gaining sharply in the last week. The North American benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, is trading for $87 a barrel while its global equivalent, Brent, is holding near $93 after the OPEC+ group of producing countries agreed to cut output by a larger-than-expected 2 million barrels a day. Because most members are already failing to meet targets, the number of barrels removed is likely to be far smaller,...

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Market Briefing: Markets Kick Higher on Falling Policy Forecasts

Markets are roaring into the fourth quarter as investors downgrade expectations for rate hikes from developed-market central banks. US equity futures are set for a strong open after yesterday’s rally, yields are coming down, and risk-sensitive currencies are outperforming the dollar in the foreign exchange space. Australia’s central bank surprised markets by lifting interest rates less than expected, saying “The cash rate has been increased substantially in a short period of time. Reflecting this, the Board decided to increase the cash rate by 25 basis points this month as it assesses the outlook for inflation and economic growth in Australia”....

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Market Briefing: Markets Stabilize After Yesterday’s Whiplash-Inducing Session

Markets are calming, but remain distinctly depressed after yesterday’s extraordinarily-turbulent session. Ten-year British gilts were yielding more than 4.5 percent and their US equivalents were paying 4 percent before the Bank of England stepped in to “carry out temporary purchases” of long-term bonds, sending rates tumbling back to 4.2 and 3.7 percent, respectively. Trading in the pound remains highly volatile, with the cable interbank rate approaching 1.09 before tumbling this morning when Prime Minister Liz Truss doubled down on her government’s policies in a series of remarkably ill-informed interviews with local BBC radio stations. Asked if she would consider reversing...

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Market Briefing: Fear Grips Financial System as Dollar Climbs and Bank of England Intervenes

With American policymakers issuing this generation’s version of former Treasury Secretary John Connally’s 1971 “the dollar is our currency, but it’s your problem” speech, a surging greenback is crushing all of its major rivals and triggering turmoil across the global financial system. Speaking with reporters yesterday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said “with the United States moving faster than many other countries, we’re seeing upward pressure on the dollar and downward pressure on many other foreign currencies,” and “these kinds of developments — which represent a tightening in financial conditions — are part of what’s involved in addressing inflation”. White House...

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