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CAD

Market Briefing: Currencies Rangebound As Liquidity Ebbs

Currency traders are all nestled in their spreads, with visions of sweet incomes dancing in their heads. Equities and risk-sensitive currencies are inching higher, the dollar is trading on a mixed basis against its major rivals, and Treasury yields are slightly weaker across the curve. Japan’s yen is holding onto gains achieved on Monday when the central bank shocked markets by opting to relax its yield-suppression efforts. Even if the Bank of Japan’s policy adjustment was not designed to tighten financial conditions, the effect has been just that: two-year government bond yields are above zero for the first time since...

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Market Briefing: Fright Before Christmas Stirs Creatures in FX Markets

Santa Claus might not come this year. The jolly old elf—known for putting gifts in the stockings of good little boys and girls across the financial markets each December—was shot down over Tokyo last night by a central banker wielding a monetary policy-guided surface-to-air missile. His condition is unknown at this time. In a surprise decision, the Bank of Japan increased the upper limit for its ten-year government bond target from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent, almost doubling effective interest rates in one of the world’s most important funding currencies. Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the move was aimed at reducing...

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Market Briefing: Volatility falls in the run-up to an eventful week

The dollar is setting up for a third day of losses even as markets prepare for an onslaught of potential volatility catalysts in the week ahead. Economists think the US will report a 7.3-percent rise in headline consumer prices when it drops November’s data on Tuesday – confirming a steady easing in inflation pressures. The Federal Reserve is expected to announce another half-percentage-point hike on Wednesday, and publish an updated set of policy projections showing a gradual deceleration in coming months. The European Central Bank and Bank of England will probably deliver their own half-point hikes on Thursday. Traders will...

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Market Briefing: Risk appetite erodes as markets brace for turbulent week ahead

The dollar is creeping higher as traders begin to cut risk ahead of next week’s US consumer price report and Federal Reserve meeting. Both events carry the potential to drive unpredictable changes in year-ahead rebalancing flows across currency markets, and hedging demand is pushing up one-week implied volatility levels in most majors. The Canadian dollar is back near levels that prevailed ahead of yesterday’s rate decision. The Bank of Canada raised rates by more than expected – half a percentage point – but offset the impact on yields and the exchange rate by signalling an imminent pause in its tightening...

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Market Wire: Bank of Canada surprises with a bigger and more dovish hike than expected

The Bank of Canada lifted its benchmark overnight rate by half a percentage point to 4.25 percent this morning, while telegraphing an imminent pause in its monetary tightening cycle. The decision surprised markets that had anticipated a smaller quarter point move – but softened the blow by lowering expectations further out. In the statement accompanying the decision, the central bank said “growth in the third quarter was stronger than expected, and the economy continued to operate in excess demand,” observing that “Canada’s labour market remains tight, with unemployment near historic lows”. Signs of a slowdown were flagged: “While commodity exports...

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