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CAD

02 Jun 2026

Global inflation pressures building

• Holding on. Modest financial market moves. US equities & oil tick up. NZD a bit softer. AUD edges up slightly & outperforms on the crosses.• Data flow. More signs US jobs market is holding up. EZ inflation quickens, raising odds of an ECB rate hike next week. AU Q1 GDP released today. Global Trends A fairly quiet 24hrs across markets with modest net moves coming through across most asset classes. US equities nudged up (S&P500 +0.1%), US bond yields consolidated, oil rose slightly (WTI crude +1.4%), and the major currencies tread water with EUR drifting sideways (now ~$1.1630), USD/JPY...

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02 Jun 2026

Iran headlines dominate currency market price action

Treasury yields and the dollar are retreating from yesterday’s highs after Hezbollah and Israel agreed to temporarily halt cross-border fighting, giving Iranian officials cause to return to the bargaining table. Oil prices had posted their sharpest one-day surge in a month after Tehran said it was abandoning talks amid an intensifying Israeli assault on Lebanon, reviving supply fears that had been dormant for weeks. Both Brent and West Texas Intermediate are down roughly 1.3% this morning, ten-year Treasury yields have eased back to 4.42%, and the trade-weighted dollar is edging lower as traders unwind the defensive positioning built up during...

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01 Jun 2026

Middle East uncertainty continues

• Headline noise. Conflicting Middle East news generated a few bursts of volatility. US bond yields & USD ticked up. NZD & AUD lost a bit of ground.• Macro events. Eurozone CPI tonight. US non-farm payrolls due later this week. Australian Q1 GDP out on Wednesday. RBA Gov. Bullock also speaks (Thurs). Global Trends Middle East-related headlines knocked markets around a little overnight. Uncertainty about a durable peace deal remains and skirmishes between opposing forces continued over the weekend. Conflicting comments generated a few intra-session bursts of volatility yesterday. On the one hand, Iranian media reported the country would suspend...

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01 Jun 2026

Iran cycle continues, keeping yields and the dollar aloft

Good morning. Equities look set to extend May’s advance at this morning’s open, even as the dollar and Treasury yields climb amid another round of escalatory strikes in the Middle East. Overnight, America hit radar and missile sites in Iran, and Tehran responded with attacks on Kuwait. President Trump said he was “in no hurry” to agree to a deal that might reopen the Strait of Hormuz, warning “if we don’t get what we want, we are going to end it in a different way”. Both global oil benchmarks are up roughly 3% as inventories fall to dangerously-low levels, raising...

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29 May 2026

Caution creeps back in as US-Iran truce remains unresolved

Happy Friday. Oil prices and the dollar are paring their losses this morning after dropping sharply yesterday on reports of a tentative agreement between the US and Iran. According to multiple sources, the two sides have agreed to extend their ceasefire by 60 days, schedule a fresh round of negotiations on Iranian nuclear materials, and reopen the Strait of Hormuz within a month. But Tehran has not confirmed the text, President Trump has not yet signed off, and after a series of false dawns investors are growing more cautious as the session progresses*. Although both global crude benchmarks are down...

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