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CAD

Australian CPI jolt & RBNZ shock

• Central banks. US equities ticked up. No change by US Fed. USD a bit weaker. Bank of Canada lifts rates. RBNZ surprised by holding steady. NZD tumbled.• CPI & RBA. Australian Q3 inflation firmer than expected. Odds of another RBA hike next week rise. AUD extends its upswing. Will the RBA deliver? Global Trends Central bank meetings and shifts in interest rate expectations have been in focus over the past 24hrs. On balance, the tone across markets has remained positive. US equities edged up again (S&P500 +0.3%), the US yield curve flattened a little as 2yr rates dipped (-4bps...

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Canadian dollar suffers whiplash after Bank of Canada raises rates

The Bank of Canada launched a pre-emptive strike on inflation this morning, raising borrowing costs by a quarter percentage point in an effort to prevent price pressures from spreading across the economy as the global energy shock rumbles on. A rise in inflation risks played a decisive role. In the official statement setting out the decision to raise the benchmark rate to 2.5%, policymakers said the “conflict in the Middle East is now in its eighth month and there is no clear path to resolution,” and warned “cost pressures are building,” with higher-for-longer energy prices raising input costs and lifting...

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Swings & roundabouts

• Positive vibes. Risk sentiment improved overnight. But earnings reports from tech stocks may generate vol. this week. AUD & NZD drifted a bit lower.• Macro pulse. Australian Q3 CPI due (Weds). RBNZ expected to hike (Weds). US Fed, BoJ, & ECB also meeting this week. Q3 US GDP also on the radar. Global Trends A few push-pull forces washed through markets at the start of the new week, but on net sentiment improved a little compared to the recent torrid spell. US equities recorded solid gains with the tech sector leading the way (S&P500 +0.7%, NASDAQ +0.8%). More bursts...

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Week Ahead Market Brief: October 26 – 30

Good morning, and happy Saturday. Central bankers are still talking about inflation. Markets are starting to worry about growth. The war with Iran is exacerbating global inflation pressures and pushing up borrowing costs, straining economies burdened with heavy debt loads and wide budget deficits, while a reversal in technology sector valuations is dimming prospects for corporate investment and consumer spending growth. Oil prices are holding near their highest levels since mid-April as markets hunker down ahead of possible strikes on Iran. Brent futures ended the week near $116 a barrel after a series of media reports and evacuation notices, along...

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RBA still focused on inflation

• Positive tone. Solid tech sector earnings supported US stocks. Bond yields consolidated. AUD & NZD continue to grind up. AUD near ~6mth average.• AU trends. RBA Deputy Gov. Hauser reiterated that inflation challenges remain. Odds of another hike by year-end rise. Q4 AU CPI due next week. Global Trends The more upbeat tone in markets continued overnight. Solid earnings results from a few megacap tech stocks eased worries (at least in the near-term) about the sustainability of capital investment spending and returns. The US S&P500 edged up ~0.6% to be within striking distance of its record highs, while the...

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