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Market Wire, North America

Market Wire: Strong jobs reports bolster rate bets

263,000 jobs were created in the United States last month, and the unemployment rate remained unchanged – suggesting that the labour market remains too tight for the Federal Reserve’s liking. According to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the unemployment rate held at 3.7 percent in November, and the participation rate moved down to 62.1 percent from 62.3 in the prior month, indicating that fewer workers are coming off the sidelines. Average hourly earnings rose 0.6 percent month-over-month, accelerating from the pace set in October. Ahead of the release, investors were positioned for a 200,000-job gain,...

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Market Wire: Fed minutes tilt dovish, lifting majors against the dollar

Policymakers on the Federal Reserve’s policy-setting committee are convinced rates will need to rise more than had been expected in September, but are preparing to moderate the pace of increases in coming months as they seek to assess the impact on the economy. According to a record of the group’s early November meeting published this afternoon, many participants felt there was considerable uncertainty around how high the federal funds rate would need to climb, but “various participants” warned that with inflation remaining high against a backdrop of continued supply and demand imbalances, the ultimate level was “somewhat higher than they...

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Market Wire: Strong North American data releases restrain hopes for monetary policy easing

Canadian inflation stabilized last month, keeping monetary policy expectations largely unchanged. Data released by Statistics Canada this morning showed the Consumer Price Index rising 6.9 percent on a year-over-year basis in October, with the month-over-month change hitting 0.6 percent – narrowly missing consensus economic forecasts for a 0.7 percent gain. Gasoline prices leapt 9.2 percent higher month-over-month, partially reflecting a rebound in global oil benchmarks. Food price gains decelerated, but kept climbing, up 0.4 percent on the month, after rising 1.2 percent in September. Shelter costs renewed their ascent, up 0.8 percent month-over-month as higher interest rates took their toll....

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Market Wire: US inflation decelerates, lowering rate expectations and lifting market sentiment

A 1.8 percent month-over-month jump in energy prices – fuelled by a 4 percent recovery in the gasoline sub-index – added to increases in food and other categories in supporting the all-items index. With highly-volatile food and energy components excluded, core prices rose 6.3 percent year-over-year, up 0.3 percent over the prior month. This was well below the 0.5 percent increase markets had expected. As expected, shelter costs kept rising, increasing 0.8 percent in the month as rents and owners equivalent measures moved up. Overall non-energy services inflation turned more mixed, with transportation up 0.7 percent, while medical care costs...

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Market Wire: Dollar Slides As Fed Pledges to Take Economic Risks “Into Account”

The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee raised benchmark rates by 75 basis points and hinted at a more gradual tightening pace in the months ahead. At the conclusion of its two-day meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee unanimously voted to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75-to-4 percent, with no dissents in favour of a smaller move. In a largely-unchanged official statement setting out the decision, policymakers set the stage for a more nuanced approach to setting rates, saying “In determining the pace of future increases in the target range, the Committee will take into account the...

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