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Inflation risks are looking less idiosyncratic.

It is increasingly obvious that price pressures in the UK have simply lagged their international counterparts in this cycle, and are likely to fade at a relatively comparable pace in the early new year. All-items inflation rose just 3.9 percent in the year to November, the slowest pace since September 2021, and core – which has trailed headline inflation in all major developed economies, fell to 5.1 percent from 5.7 in the prior month – led by a slowdown in services growth.

Consumer Price Indices, annual % change

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Latest Analysis