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Latest Analysis
Oil prices retrace higher as Mideast conflict continues
24 March, 2026
Energy prices are ratcheting higher once again as fighting in the Middle East rages unabated, suggesting that President Donald Trump’s efforts to find a diplomatic off-ramp have not met with success thus...
Twists & turns
23 March, 2026
• Risk reversal. Comments by Pres. Trump saw oil prices fall & sentiment improve. USD weaker. AUD ticked up, but AUD also underperforms on crosses.• Fragile markets. Situation in Middle East remains...
Markets stage violent reversal after Trump signals de-escalation in Iran conflict
23 March, 2026
Oil prices are tumbling and currency markets are snapping back toward pre-war levels after President Donald Trump said that Washington and Tehran had held “very good and productive conversations”...
Middle East concerns & spillovers
22 March, 2026
• Market nerves. Concerns about the duration of the Middle East conflict & global economy remain. Equities fell on Friday, bond yields rose. AUD underperforms.• Risk radar. Situation in Middle East...
Oil prices soar as Mideast conflict widens
19 March, 2026
Global energy benchmarks are approaching last weekend’s panic-driven highs as the Middle East conflict shows signs of spiralling out of control. Brent is trading above $115, West Texas Intermediate...
Market wobbles return
18 March, 2026
• Negative vibes. Another jump in energy prices & upward repricing in interest rates dampened risk sentiment. USD firmer. AUD & NZD underperform.• Macro news. Asia exposed to higher energy costs....
Fed holds rates, downplays oil price-driven shift in risk calculus
18 March, 2026
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged this afternoon and did little to acknowledge an Iran war-driven shift in the balance of risks facing the US economy in the accompanying statement, suggesting...
Bank of Canada holds, signals willingness to look through energy price shock
18 March, 2026
As markets had overwhelmingly anticipated, the Bank of Canada left its policy settings on hold this morning, and expressed concern over persistent weakness in the Canadian economy, suggesting that policymakers...
Oil prices slip slightly, bolstering market confidence
18 March, 2026
Financial markets are turning cautiously optimistic this morning as oil prices stabilise and investors position for a raft of central bank decisions. Several tankers registered to non-aligned countries...
RBA's inflation worry
17 March, 2026
• Improved mood. Despite ongoing Middle East issues & high oil prices risk sentiment has improved. Softer USD & a RBA hike supports the AUD.• RBA hikes. Another 25bp rate rise delivered yesterday....