Canada
Canada
Real Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product, chained 2012 dollars, monthly change, %, SA, updates monthly
Real Gross Domestic Product measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced in the economy. It comprises private consumption and investment, inventory buildup, government spending and net exports. Markets watch this indicator to gauge the strength and composition of growth.
Canada
Net Change in Employment
Employment, monthly change, SA, updates monthly
The Net Change in Employment measures the monthly change in the number of people employed. In Canada, the estimate includes both full-time and part-time employment and includes the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Markets monitor this number to gauge the strength of consumer spending, which impacts economic growth and monetary policy expectations.
Canada
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate, all persons, %, SA, updates monthly
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the labor force currently not working but actively seeking employment. Markets monitor the unemployment rate to assess the cyclical health of the economy and the likelihood that wage demands may increase inflationary pressures.
Canada
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Indices, annual change, %, updates monthly
The Consumer Price Index is a measure of the change over time in the average prices paid by consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. As the most widely used measure of inflation, changes in the index are closely followed by policymakers, financial markets, businesses, and consumers. Statistics Canada reports an ‘All-Items’ number that includes all categories in the calculation basket, three preferred measures of core inflation preferred by the Bank of Canada: 'Trim', which excludes components whose rates of change in a given month are located in the tails of the distribution of price changes, 'Median', which corresponds to the price change located at the 50th percentile of the distribution of price changes in a given month, and 'Common', which tracks common price changes across categories. The Trim and Median measures are seasonally adjusted, All-Items and Common are not.
Canada
Policy Rate
Bank of Canada Target for the Overnight Rate, %
The Policy Interest Rate is an overnight interest rate that the Bank of Canada targets in order to influence monetary variables in the economy, including consumer prices, exchange rates, and credit growth. The Bank of Canada adjusts the target for the overnight rate on eight fixed dates each year.
Canada
Money Supply Growth
M2 Money Supply, annual change, %, SA, updates monthly
M2 Money Supply is a measure of currency that includes cash, checking deposits, and non-cash assets that can easily be converted into cash. Markets don’t typically respond directly to changes in M2, but growth in the money supply can influence inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates over longer time horizons.
Canada
Bank of Canada Assets
Bank of Canada Total Assets, billions CAD, updates monthly
The Bank of Canada’s Balance Sheet is a financial statement that shows what the central bank owes and owns. The Bank’s assets consist primarily of Government of Canada and provincial bonds. Its liabilities are mostly currency in circulation, commercial bank reserves, and collateralized reverse repurchase agreements. The balance sheet is used to influence interest rates – when officials want to stimulate the economy, it expands, and when they wish to tighten financial conditions, it shrinks.
Canada
Debt Ratios
Credit to General Government, Non-Financial Corporate, and Household Sectors, % of gross domestic product at market value, updates quarterly
Aggregate Debt Ratios measure the total borrowing of the general government, non-financial corporate, and household sectors, expressed as a share of gross domestic product. Total debt is followed by investors as a gauge of the vulnerability of an economy to financial shocks. An overly fast pace of debt growth is also frequently associated with a buildup of unproductive investment and excessively high asset valuations.
Canada
Trade Balance
Trade Balance, balance of payments basis, billions CAD, SA, updates monthly
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported – generating a trade surplus – and a negative number indicates a deficit. Trade imbalances may reflect fleeting differences in growth rates or more permanent factors in the composition of growth or the endowment and price of natural resources.
Canada
International Investment Position
Credit to General Government, Non-Financial Corporate, and Household Sectors, % of gross domestic product at market value, updates annually
The Net International Investment Position is the difference between the external financial assets and liabilities of a nation. A nation with a positive position is a creditor nation and is generally considered a safe haven in financial markets. A nation with a negative position is a debtor nation, with deeper balance of payments vulnerabilities.
Latest Analysis
Latest Analysis
Currencies Stabilise As Fed Expectations Retrace
12 September, 2024
Markets are recovering their footing after slipping on a banana peel early in yesterday’s session.
August’s consumer price reading landed very close to economist expectations on a headline level, but...
Dollar Jumps on Hotter-Than-Anticipated Core Inflation Print
11 September, 2024
Consumer price growth accelerated slightly in the United States last month, threatening to derail a more aggressive kickoff to the Federal Reserve’s imminent easing cycle. According to data published by...
Dollar Retreats as Trump's Odds Slip
11 September, 2024
Financial markets are in relief mode this morning after Taylor Swift endorsed Kamala Harris for president, reducing demand for hedges against a rally in the dollar or a resumption in trade war hostilities....
USD bouncing back
09 September, 2024
• Shaky sentiment. A bit of a rebound in risk sentiment overnight following more turbulence on Friday after the US jobs report & Fed comments.• Market swings. US yields near bottom of their range....
Mean Reversion Dominates Markets After Inconclusive Jobs Report
09 September, 2024
Friday’s non-farm payrolls report failed to definitively settle the debate over the size of the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut. Markets initially added to bets on a plus-sized move after the Bureau of...
Dollar Tumbles as US Labour Market Slows
06 September, 2024
US labour markets softened more than expected for a second month in August, bolstering odds on a more decisive easing response from central bankers this autumn. According to data released by the Bureau...
Dollar Edges Lower Into Payrolls
06 September, 2024
The dollar is trading near a one-week low as the minutes count down to what could easily become the year’s most pivotal data release: the August non-farm payrolls report. With investors broadly convinced...
US payrolls in focus
05 September, 2024
• Hold the line. US S&P500 dipped, as did US yields & the USD. US ADP employment underwhelmed. But this hasn’t been a great guide for payrolls.• US employment. Non-farm payrolls tonight....
Dollar Slips on Renewed Recession Fears
05 September, 2024
The dollar is back on the defensive after new data showed the US labour market cooling rapidly, increasing odds on a dramatic opening salvo in the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle later this month. Treasury...
Rate expectations jolted
04 September, 2024
• Mixed markets. Equities slipped again, while bond yields tumbled & the USD softened. JPY strengthened & the AUD clawed back a bit of ground.• US jolts. US job openings declined. US labour market...