Canada
Canada
Real Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product, chained 2012 dollars, monthly change, %, SA, updates monthly
Real Gross Domestic Product measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced in the economy. It comprises private consumption and investment, inventory buildup, government spending and net exports. Markets watch this indicator to gauge the strength and composition of growth.
Canada
Net Change in Employment
Employment, monthly change, SA, updates monthly
The Net Change in Employment measures the monthly change in the number of people employed. In Canada, the estimate includes both full-time and part-time employment and includes the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Markets monitor this number to gauge the strength of consumer spending, which impacts economic growth and monetary policy expectations.
Canada
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate, all persons, %, SA, updates monthly
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the labor force currently not working but actively seeking employment. Markets monitor the unemployment rate to assess the cyclical health of the economy and the likelihood that wage demands may increase inflationary pressures.
Canada
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Indices, annual change, %, updates monthly
The Consumer Price Index is a measure of the change over time in the average prices paid by consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. As the most widely used measure of inflation, changes in the index are closely followed by policymakers, financial markets, businesses, and consumers. Statistics Canada reports an ‘All-Items’ number that includes all categories in the calculation basket, three preferred measures of core inflation preferred by the Bank of Canada: 'Trim', which excludes components whose rates of change in a given month are located in the tails of the distribution of price changes, 'Median', which corresponds to the price change located at the 50th percentile of the distribution of price changes in a given month, and 'Common', which tracks common price changes across categories. The Trim and Median measures are seasonally adjusted, All-Items and Common are not.
Canada
Policy Rate
Bank of Canada Target for the Overnight Rate, %
The Policy Interest Rate is an overnight interest rate that the Bank of Canada targets in order to influence monetary variables in the economy, including consumer prices, exchange rates, and credit growth. The Bank of Canada adjusts the target for the overnight rate on eight fixed dates each year.
Canada
Money Supply Growth
M2 Money Supply, annual change, %, SA, updates monthly
M2 Money Supply is a measure of currency that includes cash, checking deposits, and non-cash assets that can easily be converted into cash. Markets don’t typically respond directly to changes in M2, but growth in the money supply can influence inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates over longer time horizons.
Canada
Bank of Canada Assets
Bank of Canada Total Assets, billions CAD, updates monthly
The Bank of Canada’s Balance Sheet is a financial statement that shows what the central bank owes and owns. The Bank’s assets consist primarily of Government of Canada and provincial bonds. Its liabilities are mostly currency in circulation, commercial bank reserves, and collateralized reverse repurchase agreements. The balance sheet is used to influence interest rates – when officials want to stimulate the economy, it expands, and when they wish to tighten financial conditions, it shrinks.
Canada
Debt Ratios
Credit to General Government, Non-Financial Corporate, and Household Sectors, % of gross domestic product at market value, updates quarterly
Aggregate Debt Ratios measure the total borrowing of the general government, non-financial corporate, and household sectors, expressed as a share of gross domestic product. Total debt is followed by investors as a gauge of the vulnerability of an economy to financial shocks. An overly fast pace of debt growth is also frequently associated with a buildup of unproductive investment and excessively high asset valuations.
Canada
Trade Balance
Trade Balance, balance of payments basis, billions CAD, SA, updates monthly
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported – generating a trade surplus – and a negative number indicates a deficit. Trade imbalances may reflect fleeting differences in growth rates or more permanent factors in the composition of growth or the endowment and price of natural resources.
Canada
International Investment Position
Credit to General Government, Non-Financial Corporate, and Household Sectors, % of gross domestic product at market value, updates annually
The Net International Investment Position is the difference between the external financial assets and liabilities of a nation. A nation with a positive position is a creditor nation and is generally considered a safe haven in financial markets. A nation with a negative position is a debtor nation, with deeper balance of payments vulnerabilities.
Latest Analysis
Latest Analysis
Rising Unemployment Hits Both US and Canadian Dollars
06 December, 2024
The US job creation engine came back to life in November after October’s strike- and hurricane-related slowdown, but the rebound likely wasn’t strong enough to derail the Federal Reserve’s easing plans....
US jobs report in focus
05 December, 2024
• Marking time. Markets essentially in a holding pattern ahead of tonight’s US jobs report. Easing French political concerns support EUR.• US jobs. Non-farm payrolls in focus. Reaction likely to...
Subpar growth weighs on the AUD
04 December, 2024
• Positive vibes. Equities power ahead. USD treads water. AUD underperforms. US data solid but not spectacular overnight.• AUD tumbles. Weaker than expected GDP weighs on AUD. Growth has slowed across...
Markets Steady After South Korean Shock
04 December, 2024
The dollar is pushing higher, Treasury yields are steadying, and equity futures are advancing as the French government moves closer to collapse and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell prepares to deliver...
AUD: Temporary GDP hammer blow?
04 December, 2024
The now dated Q3 Australian GDP has exerted downward pressure on the AUD (now ~$0.6415) with the already sluggish underlying growth picture undershooting analysts forecasts. This won’t surprise businesses...
Markets calm despite political turbulence
03 December, 2024
• Political news. Political developments in South Korea & ongoing issues in France dominated the international news flow the past 24hrs.• Calm markets. However, market spillovers were limited. European...
Dollar Rally Eases on Waller Comments, Euro Remains Under Pressure
03 December, 2024
The dollar is trading with a softer bias this morning after Federal Reserve Governor Waller suggested that he would support cutting rates at the central bank’s next meeting, helping put pressure on the...
French politics rattles FX markets
02 December, 2024
• Mixed markets. Equities push higher while French political issues weighed on the EUR. This supported the USD. AUD & NZD lost ground.• US data. ISM manufacturing better than expected. US job openings...
Dollar Rallies Back, Euro Tumbles
02 December, 2024
The ‘US exceptionalism’ theme is back to driving markets this morning, helping the dollar snap a three-day losing streak against most of its rivals. The euro is coming under pressure as the French government...
US jobs in the spotlight this week
01 December, 2024
• Positive tone. A solid end to November with US & European equities rising. Bond yields dipped. AUD & NZD edged a bit higher.• JPY revival. JPY rebound has weighed on USD/JPY & the USD. Narrowing...