Canada
Gross Domestic Product
Contribution to quarterly change in real gross domestic product, SA
Illustrates the contribution of major expenditure components to the quarterly change in Canadian gross domestic product. Each bar decomposes the net quarterly change in real output into key categories, showing how much each component has added to or subtracted from overall growth.
Canada
Net Change in Employment
Employment, monthly change, SA, updates monthly
The Net Change in Employment measures the monthly change in the number of people employed. In Canada, the estimate includes both full-time and part-time employment and includes the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Markets monitor this number to gauge the strength of consumer spending, which impacts economic growth and monetary policy expectations.
Canada
Unemployment Gap
Canada-US unemployment rate gap, SA
Illustrates the difference between unemployment rates in Canada and the United States over time. The two unemployment rates are calculated differently and represent structurally-different economies, but the gap between them nonetheless highlights relative labour market slack between the two economies. Historically, widening Canadian slack relative to the US has tended to coincide with a weaker Canadian dollar (higher USDCAD) after a lag, while a narrowing gap has been associated with Canadian dollar strength.
Canada
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Indices, annual change, %, updates monthly
The Consumer Price Index is a measure of the change over time in the average prices paid by consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. As the most widely used measure of inflation, changes in the index are closely followed by policymakers, financial markets, businesses, and consumers. Statistics Canada reports an ‘All-Items’ number that includes all categories in the calculation basket, three preferred measures of core inflation preferred by the Bank of Canada: 'Trim', which excludes components whose rates of change in a given month are located in the tails of the distribution of price changes, 'Median', which corresponds to the price change located at the 50th percentile of the distribution of price changes in a given month, and 'Common', which tracks common price changes across categories. The Trim and Median measures are seasonally adjusted, All-Items and Common are not.
Canada
Policy Rate
Bank of Canada Target for the Overnight Rate, %
The Policy Interest Rate is an overnight interest rate that the Bank of Canada targets in order to influence monetary variables in the economy, including consumer prices, exchange rates, and credit growth. The Bank of Canada adjusts the target for the overnight rate on eight fixed dates each year.
Canada
Money Supply Growth
M2 Money Supply, annual change, %, SA, updates monthly
M2 Money Supply is a measure of currency that includes cash, checking deposits, and non-cash assets that can easily be converted into cash. Markets don’t typically respond directly to changes in M2, but growth in the money supply can influence inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates over longer time horizons.
Canada
Bank of Canada Assets
Bank of Canada Total Assets, billions CAD, updates monthly
The Bank of Canada’s Balance Sheet is a financial statement that shows what the central bank owes and owns. The Bank’s assets consist primarily of Government of Canada and provincial bonds. Its liabilities are mostly currency in circulation, commercial bank reserves, and collateralized reverse repurchase agreements. The balance sheet is used to influence interest rates – when officials want to stimulate the economy, it expands, and when they wish to tighten financial conditions, it shrinks.
Canada
Debt Ratios
Credit to General Government, Non-Financial Corporate, and Household Sectors, % of gross domestic product at market value, updates quarterly
Aggregate Debt Ratios measure the total borrowing of the general government, non-financial corporate, and household sectors, expressed as a share of gross domestic product. Total debt is followed by investors as a gauge of the vulnerability of an economy to financial shocks. An overly fast pace of debt growth is also frequently associated with a buildup of unproductive investment and excessively high asset valuations.
Canada
Trade Balance
Trade Balance, balance of payments basis, billions CAD, SA, updates monthly
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported – generating a trade surplus – and a negative number indicates a deficit. Trade imbalances may reflect fleeting differences in growth rates or more permanent factors in the composition of growth or the endowment and price of natural resources.
Canada
International Investment Position
Credit to General Government, Non-Financial Corporate, and Household Sectors, % of gross domestic product at market value, updates annually
The Net International Investment Position is the difference between the external financial assets and liabilities of a nation. A nation with a positive position is a creditor nation and is generally considered a safe haven in financial markets. A nation with a negative position is a debtor nation, with deeper balance of payments vulnerabilities.
Latest Analysis
Risk reversal
14 July, 2026
• Market rebound. Pres. Trump backtracks on Strait of Hormuz levy. US CPI softer. Odds of a July Fed hike pared back. USD weaker. AUD & NZD rise.• Data pulse. US CPI underwhelms, but Fed Chair Warsh...
Underlying US inflation decelerates sharply, taking a July rate hike off the table
14 July, 2026
Underlying consumer price growth turned negative in the United States last month, smashing the case for an imminent rate hike from the Federal Reserve, and adding to the downward pressure building against...
Dollar retreats as traders batten the hatches ahead of inflation print
14 July, 2026
Good morning. Oil prices are up nearly 15% from Friday’s close and the dollar is retreating after an escalation between Washington and Tehran led to a collapse in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz,...
Sentiment sours
13 July, 2026
• Risk wobbles. Renewed US/Iran tensions dampen risk sentiment. Oil prices jump, US equities dip, & USD firmer. AUD slips back.• US data flow. Fed’s Waller ‘hawkish’. Markets pricing...
Iran escalation lifts crude prices, leaves currencies mostly unmoved
13 July, 2026
Good morning. Oil prices are in the ascendant once again after another military escalation between the United States and Iran reignited fears of a prolonged disruption in energy shipments through the Strait...
Canadian dollar inches higher after jobs number beats expectations
10 July, 2026
The Canadian economy again generated more jobs than anticipated last month, further lowering the likelihood of an economic downturn and allowing policymakers at the Bank of Canada to remain squarely focused...
Bought and paid for?
09 July, 2026
A few years ago three behavioural-finance researchers put a deceptively simple question* to more than 26,000 people—academic economists, ordinary households, retail investors, financial advisers and professional...
Market momentum slows as clashes between the US and Iran continue
09 July, 2026
Good morning. Oil prices and currency markets are stabilising after yet another escalation in the conflict between the United States and Iran left the status quo* in the Strait of Hormuz largely intact....
Breakdown in US-Iran ceasefire triggers whiplash across currency markets
08 July, 2026
Good morning. The dollar is advancing and oil prices are climbing after a fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran collapsed, endangering a nascent recovery in global energy supplies. A series of Iranian...
Markets steady as data cadence slows and underlying trends stay in place
07 July, 2026
Good morning. Foreign exchange markets are enjoying a quiet, range-bound session, with most currencies little changed against the dollar amid a lack of first-tier economic data and a paucity of geopolitical...