Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

Short term gain could bring long term pain.

For the pound, the path forward is heavily contingent on the performance of the UK economy, and to a lesser extent how the Eurozone economy is travelling. Hence, from our perspective, a more positive outlook would require the economy to continue delivering positive surprises relative to market consensus. This may result from ongoing resilience in household consumption, or an upswing in business investment. Ongoing strength, combined with stubbornly high inflation could see the Bank of England press on with additional aggressive interest rate hikes. While positive in the short term for the exchange rate, over the longer run, this could result in a sharper economic downturn and larger pull-back down the track.

Sentiment Remains Weak As Tariff Fears Outweigh Still-Supportive Fundamentals
Dollar Slump Continues As Appeals Court Temporarily Reinstates Trump Tariffs
Tariff Celebration Proves Short-Lived
Markets Soar After Trump Tariffs Are Ruled Illegal
Rally Fades As Uncertainties Remain
Tumult Fades As Intense Trading Week Begins

Latest Analysis

Latest Analysis