Canada
Canada
Real Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product, chained 2012 dollars, monthly change, %, SA, updates monthly
Real Gross Domestic Product measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced in the economy. It comprises private consumption and investment, inventory buildup, government spending and net exports. Markets watch this indicator to gauge the strength and composition of growth.
Canada
Net Change in Employment
Employment, monthly change, SA, updates monthly
The Net Change in Employment measures the monthly change in the number of people employed. In Canada, the estimate includes both full-time and part-time employment and includes the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Markets monitor this number to gauge the strength of consumer spending, which impacts economic growth and monetary policy expectations.
Canada
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate, all persons, %, SA, updates monthly
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the labor force currently not working but actively seeking employment. Markets monitor the unemployment rate to assess the cyclical health of the economy and the likelihood that wage demands may increase inflationary pressures.
Canada
Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Indices, annual change, %, updates monthly
The Consumer Price Index is a measure of the change over time in the average prices paid by consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. As the most widely used measure of inflation, changes in the index are closely followed by policymakers, financial markets, businesses, and consumers. Statistics Canada reports an ‘All-Items’ number that includes all categories in the calculation basket, three preferred measures of core inflation preferred by the Bank of Canada: 'Trim', which excludes components whose rates of change in a given month are located in the tails of the distribution of price changes, 'Median', which corresponds to the price change located at the 50th percentile of the distribution of price changes in a given month, and 'Common', which tracks common price changes across categories. The Trim and Median measures are seasonally adjusted, All-Items and Common are not.
Canada
Policy Rate
Bank of Canada Target for the Overnight Rate, %
The Policy Interest Rate is an overnight interest rate that the Bank of Canada targets in order to influence monetary variables in the economy, including consumer prices, exchange rates, and credit growth. The Bank of Canada adjusts the target for the overnight rate on eight fixed dates each year.
Canada
Money Supply Growth
M2 Money Supply, annual change, %, SA, updates monthly
M2 Money Supply is a measure of currency that includes cash, checking deposits, and non-cash assets that can easily be converted into cash. Markets don’t typically respond directly to changes in M2, but growth in the money supply can influence inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates over longer time horizons.
Canada
Bank of Canada Assets
Bank of Canada Total Assets, billions CAD, updates monthly
The Bank of Canada’s Balance Sheet is a financial statement that shows what the central bank owes and owns. The Bank’s assets consist primarily of Government of Canada and provincial bonds. Its liabilities are mostly currency in circulation, commercial bank reserves, and collateralized reverse repurchase agreements. The balance sheet is used to influence interest rates – when officials want to stimulate the economy, it expands, and when they wish to tighten financial conditions, it shrinks.
Canada
Debt Ratios
Credit to General Government, Non-Financial Corporate, and Household Sectors, % of gross domestic product at market value, updates quarterly
Aggregate Debt Ratios measure the total borrowing of the general government, non-financial corporate, and household sectors, expressed as a share of gross domestic product. Total debt is followed by investors as a gauge of the vulnerability of an economy to financial shocks. An overly fast pace of debt growth is also frequently associated with a buildup of unproductive investment and excessively high asset valuations.
Canada
Trade Balance
Trade Balance, balance of payments basis, billions CAD, SA, updates monthly
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported – generating a trade surplus – and a negative number indicates a deficit. Trade imbalances may reflect fleeting differences in growth rates or more permanent factors in the composition of growth or the endowment and price of natural resources.
Canada
International Investment Position
Credit to General Government, Non-Financial Corporate, and Household Sectors, % of gross domestic product at market value, updates annually
The Net International Investment Position is the difference between the external financial assets and liabilities of a nation. A nation with a positive position is a creditor nation and is generally considered a safe haven in financial markets. A nation with a negative position is a debtor nation, with deeper balance of payments vulnerabilities.
Latest Analysis
Latest Analysis
Geopolitical Concerns Ease Ahead of Action-Packed Week
16 June, 2025
Measures of market stress are moderating ahead of a week crammed with a combustible array of potential volatility catalysts including an escalation in Middle East hostilities, three major central bank...
The fog of war
15 June, 2025
• Middle East conflict. Developments dampened sentiment. Oil prices spiked & equities slipped back. USD firmer. AUD & NZD lost some ground.• Volatility. Geopolitical tensions can generate more...
Israeli Attack on Iran Leaves Markets Rattled
13 June, 2025
Financial markets are suffering another round of tumult this morning after Israel launched dozens of air strikes against Iran, targeting its air defences, nuclear programme, and military leadership. As...
Volatility Surges as Israel Strikes Iran
12 June, 2025
The US dollar is surging against most of its major counterparts as Israel launches airstrikes on Iran, threatening to ignite a new war in the Middle East – still the origin of nearly a third of global...
Crosscurrents
11 June, 2025
• Mixed signals. Positive US CPI offset by lack of US/China trade progress. S&P500 dipped, as did bond yields. AUD & NZD also eased back.• Tariff impacts. Some signs of tariffs in US inflation....
Dollar Slips and Markets Rip Higher As Soft US Inflation Data Bolsters Rate Cut Bets
11 June, 2025
The US dollar is trading with a modestly weaker bias after fresh evidence that price pressures are moderating in the world’s largest economy reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin...
Currencies Calm Even As Pound Slumps On Labour Market Cooling
10 June, 2025
The greenback is edging higher against most of its advanced-economy counterparts, but traders remain cautious as they await tomorrow’s inflation release, Thursday’s long-dated Treasury auction, and any...
Slow & steady
09 June, 2025
• Quiet start. US equities rose a bit overnight, while US bond yields & the USD eased. AUD & NZD near top of their respective multi-month ranges.• Macro trends. US jobs report released last Friday....
Data Cadence Slows, But Bond Auctions Represent Clear and Present Danger
09 June, 2025
The US dollar is trading with a softer tone this morning, slipping against all of its major counterparts as it relinquishes gains made on the heels of Friday’s robust jobs report. Ten-year Treasury yields...
US Job Creation Holds Firm, Driving Dollar Higher
06 June, 2025
The US job creation engine maintained its modest momentum last month, keeping the Federal Reserve sidelined for now. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 139,000 jobs were added in May – representing...