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US Jobs Number Smashes Estimates, Canada’s… Doesn’t

The US job creation engine accelerated in March, further lowering market-implied odds on rate cuts in the back half of the year. According to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, 303,000 jobs were added in the month, with the unemployment rate falling to 3.8 percent, and average hourly earnings climbing 0.3 percent month-over-month. Ahead of the release, consensus estimates had pointed to a circa-215,000-position gain, and no major forecaster had anticipated a print above the 270,000 mark. Hours worked – often considered a better measure of underlying labour market trends – ticked higher to 34, surprising...

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Markets Lick Wounds After Sharp Selloff

Markets are struggling to regain their footing after a rise in geopolitical tensions triggered a classic flight to safety. Equities and risk-sensitive currencies tumbled yesterday afternoon as investors sought refuge in bonds, the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and dollar. Benchmark crude prices jumped to the highest levels since October after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, speaking at a meeting of the security cabinet soon after a phone call with US President Joe Biden, said “Iran has been acting against us for years, directly and via proxies. And, therefore, Israel acts against Iran and its proxies, defensively and offensively… We will...

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